janbonator 300 Posted September 5 This year the weather forecasts seem to be off by so much that it must be a design choice. Sometimes the pre-race forecasts give three drops of rain for the entire race, but it doesn't rain all race. Other times it can show an overcast dry weather but it rains all race. There must be some probabilities in this randomness. Do they change on track-by-track basis? Will an overcast Spa have a higher probability for rain than overcast Melbourne? 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RS Phil 214 Posted September 6 If it’s by design it’s a good choice because it feels more realistic like that. See what happens in Barcelona and even Spa this year. 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
janbonator 300 Posted September 6 7 hours ago, RS Phil said: If it’s by design it’s a good choice because it feels more realistic like that. See what happens in Barcelona and even Spa this year. No argument from me there. It's good, but I'd like to know how it works. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RS Phil 214 Posted September 6 It works like the name suggests : it’s a forecast not a pure truth and this makes the race more difficult to predict. This is the way it goes IRL too. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
janbonator 300 Posted September 6 (edited) 23 minutes ago, RS Phil said: It works like the name suggests : it’s a forecast not a pure truth and this makes the race more difficult to predict. This is the way it goes IRL too. I know how weather forecasts work - or don't. IRL weather forecast are more unreliable in Spa than in Australia, and my question was whether this is the case in the game as well. Edited September 6 by janbonator Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DRT-Apophis 101 Posted September 6 (edited) 1 hour ago, janbonator said: I know how weather forecasts work - or don't. IRL weather forecast are more unreliable in Spa than in Australia, and my question was whether this is the case in the game as well. It is, as the name suggest it's just a forecast with lots of randomness mixed-in like in real life. The whole weather system in the game is believed to be based on real life data, for example some tracks like Bahrain will never rain, while weather on tracks like Singapore is ever-changing and so unpredictable that the forecast is very unreliable that you should always be prepare for chaos. I really like this weather system, probably one of the more refine features of the game. I do wish they improve the mechanics of the racing line on wet condition to make it more realistic though. Edited September 6 by DRTApophis 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
tarrantino 120 Posted September 6 Yes each track has a percentage of rain chance based on their real life situation. Then as you noted the forecast can and will be different to what goes on the circuit. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
USPBauer24 82 Posted September 6 Weather is broken. I was in qualy and it said it was sunny when it was pouring down. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
amazingblaze 112 Posted September 6 I posted a few weeks ago about this. It's not the forecasts that are at fault. The weather in Practice and qualy, where it gives you a now, and 5, 10, 20 minutes time, the now has quite often been wrong. To the point where I put on inters, as I can see it's raining, and I get a warning when I try to start a session that my tyres are unsuitable. If I wait, then it eventually let's me go out. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DirtDiver25 47 Posted September 9 I just did the Chinese GP on my team career, 100% race length. The forecast showed partly cloudy then sunshine towards the end. About lap 25 it started to rain, switched to inters on lap 30, and the track went dry with about 15 laps to go. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ChristianAnsell 20 Posted September 12 On 9/5/2020 at 10:23 PM, janbonator said: This year the weather forecasts seem to be off by so much that it must be a design choice. Sometimes the pre-race forecasts give three drops of rain for the entire race, but it doesn't rain all race. Other times it can show an overcast dry weather but it rains all race. There must be some probabilities in this randomness. Do they change on track-by-track basis? Will an overcast Spa have a higher probability for rain than overcast Melbourne? For me, every time if I look at pre race forecast and then go to race it rains about 30 minutes before pre race forecast says and it happens every time and had this in 2019 version too, gets tired very quickly as it happens way to regularly. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Erudain 45 Posted September 12 (edited) The weather forecast during practices and qualys is sometimes really bugged or wrong, sometimes in the session time screen I get a "clear and dry sunny" in the current, +5 minutes, +10 minutes, etc weather all while is pouring for a full wet tyre Edited September 12 by Erudain Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
